Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sophisticated Cat | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hazelmoor Beach | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Josie Wales | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Blocks | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Jelly Bean | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shared Authority | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bunny Hop | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cora’s Choice | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meliponini Bee | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majesty’s Freedom | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Heartburn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Little Hot Mess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Coracle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Designer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mexican Sugar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Velvet Vixen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Man Team | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defined Boundaries | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernie the Star | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Latin Rebel | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Trip | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buy Tom a Beer | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razorback Army | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Blood | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surprisingly Sweet | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Italian War Cry | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mosler | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quill Pen | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Put a Rock On It | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Red | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Queen of the Dance | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Satisfied | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lem Me Drink | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprisingly Sweet | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Digital Trade | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heybackatcha | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Magic Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Search | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Romantic Story | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Monster Summer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hot Bottom Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Charm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youmakemecharlie | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Cache | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atlantis Queen | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon N Lace | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Need to Ask | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shkhara Fire | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosieontheriver | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Shawtown Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patria | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Social Whirl | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molly of Stratford | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diva Ready | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Serenity | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap It Up | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patria | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theodora Grace | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cupids Dream | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sullivan Street | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haleigh B | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Latest Edition | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gold Aspen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mortal Sin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Prince | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Drilling for Gold | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gift Exchange | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burroughs Cay | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire and Knives | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tabloid City | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brighty | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonflyer | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kinda Fonda Wanda | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Raptor Razzle | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Merging Traffic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mungo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chevy Man | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thick as Thieves | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War Master | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Kingdom | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derbyness | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Lance | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mamba | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alvy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Guaponess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quint’s Brew | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Woohoo Jackie Blue | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chez Soleil | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Getaway Palace | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inanna’s Quest | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amunet | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daily Planet | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beachgrass | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Limonada | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call On Clara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lullaby Land | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Up Her Sleeve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.