Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Justify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Unions | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navajo Warrior | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Gold | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Max | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt’s Treasure | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Co Heart | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Mo Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | News At Ten (GB) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Please Focus | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Corn | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Joy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tranche | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Going Deep | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoe’s Candy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Co Heart | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddygaveittome | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kapalua Ride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Interplay | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everything Bugs Me | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophisticate | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cailin Dana | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Cara (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holly Goquickly (FR) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt’s Broad | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petite Ange | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Anitanewmercedes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nauvoo | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Grazy | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Druidic | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Advisor | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windribbon | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Curvino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Video Review | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Warrior | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broski (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbreakable Trust | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tariff | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cano for the Win | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Comininalittlehot | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smartier | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muscled | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lonesome Stew | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bartholdy | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hondo Crouch | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifth Street | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischelof (CHI) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jerry’s Spirit | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Let It Ride S.) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | King of Gosford (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Headed | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sketchy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grogu | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Siennois (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promissio | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Me To Church (IRE) | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | British Isles | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sine Qua Non | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Glory (GB) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devil Among Us | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honeymoon Suite | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letshaveonemore | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rogue Son | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always On Cay | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kahuna Magic | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bonus Tornado | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Erebus | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.