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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miz Jameson 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rain 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Hardly Mischievous 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Lily’s Creed 1.80 2.4 4-1
7 7 Freeform 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Crystal Crescent 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mschitchattour 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Lacis Jewel 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tripple D Ruller 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 He’s Just Lucky 5.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Summertime Peppers 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Deal With It Daddy 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Tussling Charlie 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 J L Pac Man 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pennys Deal 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Achromedoutcat 20.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Letmikefigureitout 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Cali Dreamin 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Instaspeed 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Candy Girl Miss 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Pasila 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Givin Off Sparks 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Dreamchaser Jewels 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 I’m So Hot 5.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Southernbellebetty 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 This Gray Mischiev 15.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Lola and Rose 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Thats Unbelievable 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bankroll 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Northernreflection 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Call My Banker 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Magawildtime 5.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Top of My Game 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Street Art 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Lil Bro Coop 10.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Kentucky Peerless 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Bello Creedo 3.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Calculated Luv 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fabs 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Roya 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Dashyns Dream 6.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Blushing Belle 20.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Sienna Breeze 20.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Show Me the Candy 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Pulpit’s Dream 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Jocasta 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Honest Angus 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 True Princess 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Runtolive 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Run Dreaming 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 She Smiled At Me 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Circle Up 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Rusty’s Sunrise 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chapellete 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Overcast 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Missneversatisfied 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Forgotten Fortune 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Madison Rae 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 The Calling Stone 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Lady With a Cause 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Hauntress 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bent Halo 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Willamina 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Seehoss 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Silent Power 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Cabochon Treasure 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wanna Winna 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Max Pandowdy 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Sammy Danseur Jr. 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jacked 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Wesleyan 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Swift N Traffic 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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