Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cawkab |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bernin Hot |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harleezy |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
River in Egypt |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Seas of Normandy |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drip d’Oro |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Crooked Bullet |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jujubee |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crooked Bullet |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Asleep At Eight |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
All the Luck |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coming in Hot |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Altobelli |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pakula |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mackadoo |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Halina’s Forte |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Youalmosthadme |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moonlit Lady |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Halina’s Forte |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hush It Honey |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Squall |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legadema |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fun to Run |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cruz Chica |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovebug |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Scarlet Red Sky |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
We Hear You |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two Timer |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mary Loves Louie |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Judy’s Flyer |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Huixtla |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Divineintervention |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Global Queen |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Spurrier |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bye Bye Liam |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hoppin John |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stop the Spread |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baladine |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rockstar Red |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bettering |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Extra Halo |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Call of Honor |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tempted Mission |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cox Canyon |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liam the Brave |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coyote Road |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Metatron’s Muse |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sant’ Antimo |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Franco |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Peterkin |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Ollie |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Hemp Heaven |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Happy Talk |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sonhador |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Islander |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rainbow Glow |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barbanera |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thanksgiving |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shore War |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time for Magic |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Global Stage |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
I Got No Munny |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Love the Nest |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zoombie |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Briterdayzahead |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chryso Alogo |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Santa Cruiser |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kattath |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vulcan |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tilted Towers |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Knicks Story |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ready Pursuit |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Kant Beat the Rock |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Fan the Fire |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Attache |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Harrodsburg |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miracle Worker |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Justifreak |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Sweep |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
House United |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Thoughtthatcounts |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Notah |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Goldbrick |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Linebacker |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Senior Officer |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Big Hammer |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Princip |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Come to Papa |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Hope |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rocket Night |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Na Pali Joe |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Macho Villa |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vincita |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wicked Melody |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thezelenskyyfactor |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kosher Capone |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moving to Kentucky |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.