Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Best | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kowboykabin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hide the Demon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ships On Fire | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | March West | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Barton | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Flat | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Stooper | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fifteen Love Back | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matagora Bay | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Knock | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coffee Kisses | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warming Trend | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allycroker | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Actin’ Up | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Zap This | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santa Fe | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Higinia | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tap Dance Tango | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Last Thing | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Jacked Up | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Watch (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duanes Sonney Boy | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Over Me | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clearwater Sunset | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Sister | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinco Steve | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Headedtothestars | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Bond | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sedaris | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronald Dale | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cashmere Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geometrique | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Witt Run | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riobella | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kolkata | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rollin Blackout | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keep the Bling | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iuka Miss | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Including Ellie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poetic Union | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | War Hawk | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vestes | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrinkle Road | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sword of Gold | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wristband | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cole Trickle | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dicey Wager | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twenty to Park | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perliano | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Wave James | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peppermint Candy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anchor Line | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rachel’s Caper | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Lass | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Coast Fashion | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Insightful Miss | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liuzza | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Tank | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Parade | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Manor Born | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glendale | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Memory | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | From the Heart | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daryls Trump Card | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Specialsortastorm | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shamayim | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ain’t That a Kick | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.