Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Decisive Pride |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Growth Mindset |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frosty the Roman |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Last Run |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iconic Rock |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cryptonym |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Prince David |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gentleman Caller |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Freakazoid |
3.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Front Traffic |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dynamic Empire |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Designer Bag |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cheese |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Goshaki Goshaki |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bubbles Up |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Valley |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Full Exchange |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chica Catholic |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smart Style |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Paynted Blue |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Urge to Merge (IRE) |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kern River |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lukas Prince |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Milchin |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sir Banana Brian |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roan |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Xy Face |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Black Seal |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Come Dream With Me |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Praiseworthy |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Builder Jak |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Palpito |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bernardo’s Legacy |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seven Anniversary |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Abarrio |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beauty Bolt |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bestial |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Foxtrot Harry |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
King d’Oro |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiting Field |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Speed Control |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Downing Street |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Drink N Wink |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stroke of Midnight |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kuwait Towers |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Noble Tiger |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Steeler Mischief |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Timely Reward |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
West Bank |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
St. Joe Jet |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barbaresco Baby |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Iron Shield |
5.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shiloh |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
For the Thrill |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Practical Vale |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
New Baby |
12.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Cassidy |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ruthless Rua |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Here’s the Kicker |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beach Party Bingo |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stiletto Heels |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hockey |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ruthless Rua |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Qualificata |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mischievous Doll |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sophia’s Storm |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Roar of the Beast |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mati Gol |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aero Star |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eliot House |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sneaky Sneaky |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quizler |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Roundtriptoitaly |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lawler |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nothingsubtle |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blustering Breeze |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Immense Faith |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Disattached |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crypto Man |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zaino |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Acquired Class |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carlin Clan |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Immense Faith |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alasdair |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Giuro |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guildenstern (IRE) |
5.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Guaio |
10.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heathcliff |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Megan Makin Money |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Happy Ride |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amor Y Control |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Action |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tapit’s Girl |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shez Speightful |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chaina |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Barbara |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lovin Makes Cents |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Our Dear Peggy S.) – Our Dear Peggy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bellavinino |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ramsey Pond |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Special Aviator |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unchained Elaine |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
It’s Witchcraft |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Mary Nell |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lemonpeppasteppa |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hello Hello Hello |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Obliging |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brenna |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hot Dream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Paradise Wins |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.