Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rookie Card |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atlal |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Treaty of Rome |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Graffiti Writer |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Griffin’s Wharf |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devil of Ramadi |
50.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grey Ace |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Summer Whirl |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saratoga Gaze |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roagna |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aunt Yola |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gram |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moonlit Weekend |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tour Jete |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mainstream Sellout |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stella Mars |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
O P Firecracker |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Digital Ops |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Black Rain |
1.20 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Winnin’onweekends |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s Got This |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unbridled Bomber |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Kenny Be |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Joker On Fire |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kenny Be |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wholesale |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Liberty Rising |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daytona Gold |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskey Frens |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Volatile Situation |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sir Kartrite |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
New Matthew |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dare’s Edge |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
I Love Cara |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kick a Buck |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Time Song |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
St. Joe Louis (GB) |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inflation Nation (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Willintoriskitall |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Union Express |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scat Tu Tap |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nano Man |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Love Cara |
50.00 |
13.5 |
25-1 |
12 |
12 |
Irish Tenor |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Strapped |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Hagrid’s Flame |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tony O |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Baie Longue |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Decanted |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fake Celebrity |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hands of Time |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Virage |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Presence |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Freedom Glider |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cipher |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kakao |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nod to Tran |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Roscoe Pine |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Capricious Outcome |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Hard Circle |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Take Home the Cup |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Cyclone State |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Interceptor |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Bold Ruler S.) – Bold Ruler S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Surveillance |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Top Gunner |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scotland |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Surveillance |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Buddy B |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Vic |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runninsonofagun |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twenty Four Mamba |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Forty Niner S.) – Forty Niner S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Coastal Mission |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coastal Mission |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Messier |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Film Star |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Repo Rocks |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nelson Avenue |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Winit |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jefferson Street |
4.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stage Raider |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dude N Colorado (GB) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Maxwell Esquire |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocean Atlantique |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Create Trouble |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magical Ways |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Drakon |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tidal Forces |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Prophet |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lord Miles |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Next Episode |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Classic Legacy |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mother Goose S.) – Mother Goose S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tarifa |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Headline Numbers |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gun Song |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dorothy’s Dreams |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pretty Ana |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Life Talk |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Just Music |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Call Another Play |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Disco Star |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Mischief |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Giant’s Audible |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Forever to Go |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twirling Lulu |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Miss C Banker |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gattatiz |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blakely’s Wish |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Graceful Warrior |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Preferred Pal |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cue the Music |
12.00 |
12.2 |
23-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wildcat Annie |
30.00 |
13.5 |
25-1 |
16 |
16 |
Cara’s Dreamweaver |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Kissed by Karma |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Lady Delilah |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Infastuation |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.