Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Usha | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mischief Lady | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Princess Mischief | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unwoke | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamitendiamonds | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Phonecalltoheaven | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Wildcat Annie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Law Professor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bendoog | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tabeguache | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Catch | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Coffee | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Empire Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gallant Greta | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Granadilla | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purpose | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In All My Dreams | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizallmine | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer in Erin | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | General Agent | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Escondido | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Father Dalton | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Van Vollenhoven | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glint | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masterwork | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Bold Ambition | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beary Funny | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Road | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vinsanity | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Counter Attack | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masterwork | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conniving | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Purchase | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Market | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Complex Gal | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cabaletta | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wandering Kirby | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aviso | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Rose | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Forever | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More for Sure (IRE) | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Abundant Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Liza | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Acousticat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aerialist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Good Long Cry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pionus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mighty Glory | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Hours in a Day | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salacious | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Word Score | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taparino | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Baron | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Glory | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Time Yes | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Get a Job | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Step On It | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Noonzio | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Larry | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberty Central | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Toby | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boys Code | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Land d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Java Buzz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Feathers Road | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Hilarious Affair | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Air Invasion | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 8 | Fauci | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Cadamosto (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Kreesa | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Neuschwanstein | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Image of Quality | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 12 | My Life Story | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Playground Legend | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 11 | King Moonracer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.