Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McGill | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awe Inspired | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zone Control | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbononaholiday | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gee Power | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mine Seeker | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baptist Billy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Deputy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ami’s Girl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Vrana (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Under Agreement (FR) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Treat | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All My Tomorrows | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ami’s Girl | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Mitole | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquer the Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Port Renfrew | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Mercury | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gloriannia | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Makes a Point | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Livin On Luv | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Hay Paula | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kavala | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Beast | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Eleanor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Collect | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Town | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Send Money | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Quality | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dryden | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Field Hockey | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celentano | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | If You Insist | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Contrivance | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lois Len | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cleomenes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gizmo’s B F F | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mountain Sound | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Make No Mistake | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Eva | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Delphia | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Del | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galley Head | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alberta Be Mine | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Ruby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Helluva Holiday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Western Whirl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arabian Prince | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causin’ Mayhem | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Achieved | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaggersgotagun | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cooler Man | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warhol | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good News Money | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P. S. Rising Star | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Have an Idea | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Choose to Be Happy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunnawin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Villi Olento | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Daisy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rookie Court | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Another Pinky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scored | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Waterloo | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Holiday | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | On Paradise Hill | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trustmydaddyissues | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firebolt | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absolutelystunning | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flattering Look | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady With Attitude | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Magnetize | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Benjamin | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.