Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yo Puedo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Cami | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Low Country Magic | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cha Cha Chukka | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucy Got Game | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Saint | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | East Shore | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wits and Wagers | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tegwar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Citizen Judy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Bit O Storm | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Single Again | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sevenon | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arditamente | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Irish | 3.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Real Mischievous | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bullet Baby | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Security Pledge | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get It Together | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Reecho | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | She Stopped Short | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Endless Fashion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Huixtla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Craken | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Gesture | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apollo Rising | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atlantic Dancer | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Prince | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Overstatement | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ministerial | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azoi | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fear of Union | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strava | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Time | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huge Bigly | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocco Strong | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Underdressed | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Navy Soul | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nullarbor | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | W W Crazy | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | C F V Bullet | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Centurian | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pretty Pertinent | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | My Brazilian Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Birdwatching | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Front War | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stents and Statins (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redo | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impractical Diva | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Shot | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eight Days Sober | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Streetwhereyoulive | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scenic Beauty | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fun Loving | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Pertinent | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Time Stone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bundchen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Love Me Sweet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bourbon Thief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neon Icon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Landed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intricate | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Musical Note | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Icon | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everland | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | America’s Vow | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Audacious | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regaled | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Be Quiet | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanctify | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sakura Blossom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Letstalkaboutme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outadore | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Outadore | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest Me Red | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mark of the Z | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eamonn | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | That’s Right | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Stash | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Rogue | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stitched | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sosua Summer | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Front Run the Fed | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Agent Peter Graves | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bad Beat Brian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spankster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Determined Kingdom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jean Valjean | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bushido | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartarian | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Touchy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Campaign Trail | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Original Sin | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can Do Andrew | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Au Contraire | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Form | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Coach | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Quality | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amor Patriae | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harvest n’Hearth | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tartarian | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hitchcock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Baker Hayfield | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Steppe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Faust | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Disclaimer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.