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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chasing Stardom 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Warrior’s Vow 4.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Dr Bayter 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Magical Jaime 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Fenwick Jack 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Rabbit 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sir Cupid 8.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Tough Workout 10.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Milagroso 10.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 Bluey 15.00 10.7 20-1
6 6 Gamerun 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cabra Chica 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chloe Rose 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Old Head 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Awesomenewyear 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Erin’s Enthusiasm 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Boca Royalty 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Oscar Gaze 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Melodia 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Bahama Pearl 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jake Brake Alley 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nuedorf 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Awesome for Sure 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Youbetterbejoking 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Carbonite 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Tiempo Perfecto 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 It’s a Pity 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Tucker Road 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fuego Sos 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Aaraj 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Cisco Kid 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dos de Oros 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Takemetothemoon 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Why Stop There 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Crack the Code 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Rumaway 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Travel Guide 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lord Winsalot 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Olympic Romp 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Brilliant Chase 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 First Deputy 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Grand Pick 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Mega Charlie 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Midnight Getaway 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dixie’s Two Stents 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Doctor Doom 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Long Gray Line 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Emily’s On Fire 0 0-1
1 1 Tiz Race Day 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ell Gray 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Wiki Lio 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Mayday Mayhem 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Emily’s On Fire 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Neighbelline 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Bearly Working 2.50 6.8 13-1
8 8 Stay Opportunistic 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tap in Formation 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Swing Oil 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 First Money 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Raisedaroofcharlie 2.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Eddiemush 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Harry’s Onthebeach 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Reckless Place 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Modern Midas 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Minxzhippsdontleye 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Connecting 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Man Woody 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wine and Roses 0 0-1
5 5 Alani 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Patty Brown Eyes 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Wine and Roses 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Sweet Distraction 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Poetic Fury 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Moose Mandy 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The King Cheek 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 In Spades 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Fightertown 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dylan’s Ruby 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Amatteroftime 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Awesome Flay 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Silent Mode 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Supreme Being 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Divine Miracle 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Check My Six 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Liberty Runner 0 0-1
5 5 My Brother Charlie 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sophia’s Prince 10.00 2.6 5-1
13 13 Miracle Trip 10.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Bullet Breeze 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 My Boy Tullio 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Have No Regrets 15.00 5 10-1
9 9 Sheer Dominance 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Zona de Amigos 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Badbadbobby 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Chasin’ Whiskey 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Liberty Runner 15.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 T’was the Night 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 October Bliss 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Star of Caesarea 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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