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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dashingly 0 0-1
4 4 Dashingly 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Halone 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Splendora 0.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sparrow 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Justivar 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Island Cruiser 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rexford 3.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Mas Rapido (GB) 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Neon Lights (IRE) 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Kid Azteca 2.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Lite Ranchin Kid 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Rhythem On Stage 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Invincible 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Lettheliquortalk 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Yacowlef (IRE) 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Gain 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Last Call Paul 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Artist Point 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Red On Sunday 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Seattle Surf 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bellagio Bags 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Make It a Large 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Uncle John 0 0-1
3 3 Forty Niner Gold 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Rhino 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Uncle John 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ratleff 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Eastbound 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cupid’s Crusader 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sanger 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 New York Dreams (GB) 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Spiritist 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Mischievous Dylan 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Toppers At Seaside 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Irish Rebel 2.50 8.6 16-1
7 7 Spun Not Stirred 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Burning Rubber 3.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Candy Crusher 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Missile Cruiser 4.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Maximus 6.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Targaryis 8.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Noble Minded 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lil Richards Bello 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Evening Sun (GB) 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Leyas Candy 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Kerry Gold 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bee Catcher 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Grape Nuts Warrior 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Moody Jim (IRE) 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Fly the Sky 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Aurelian Man 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Low Expectations 20.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Hapi Hapi 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Law Abiding 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stop Digging 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Asada Fries 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tecumseh Caroline 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Lamporghini 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sharp Ride 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Big Mama Sue 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Love Our Family 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Professors’ Pride 12.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Blazing Bardot 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 What About Q 4.50 1 2-1
12 12 Caitlin Fever 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Cloudy Women 15.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Abazaami (GB) 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Ready to Dare 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Margarita Girl 1.20 8.2 15-1
11 11 Schilflied 8.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Kitty Marren 12.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Prime and Ready 15.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 Mia Sorpresa 20.00 11.1 21-1
4 4 Whirlwind 30.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Amorita 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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