Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Nafisa |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Accuracy |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scarlet Avenue |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Philippa |
1.40 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Affair |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tahiti Iti |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fearless Soldier |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lottery Pick |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oubabe |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
British Isles |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joyrider |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fireman Dan |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tequila Talkin |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Haywood |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Southern Slang |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Riverwalk |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cody Boy |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Simplexity (IRE) |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Grazen Gator |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
How About Pavel |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Renatus |
1.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chilly Philly |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mrazek’s Old Dream |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Only After Midnite |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hey Jessie |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lansdowne (GB) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vanzzy |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zimba Warrior |
2.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stop and a Tres |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Taishan |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joint Venture |
1.60 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tom and Jazzy |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Quality Wins |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caribbean King |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Prosper |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Osage Creek |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crazy Cavalier |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Legitimate Target (GB) |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tomorrownevercomes |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jetfire |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Andtheomofthebrave |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Phoenix Flying |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Danzing Wild Cat |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pebbles B Awesome |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hearts Fantasy |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mujer de Oro |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Venice Vibe |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Kathryn Rose |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aintafraidtodream |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tail On Fire |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nala |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Lure S.) – Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Seal Team (GB) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Exaulted |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Man O Rose |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mi Hermano Ramon |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sumter |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Potente |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
War At Sea |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sarwar (FR) |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flashiest |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Princess Daddy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Promise Me Kat |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Faithful Truth |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thirsty Destiny |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Tell Tammo |
2.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Musical Number |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iconic Memory |
2.50 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cioppina Pasadina |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.