Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ariel Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margaret’s Lady | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intel Agent | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saint Devereaux | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glamorous | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | X Gene | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nearly a Lady | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tangerineginger | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharmin | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Feather Wish | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bells of Bram | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lachicafortequila | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sassy Valentine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dearly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | A Lotta Moxie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zee Zee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fun Lovin Criminal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Thoughts | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ron Don Scorese | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aliferous | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoot Themessenger | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Danny Boy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trash Talkin Larry | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tom Hagen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U S Constitution | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Matuschek | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | T Rex | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bomboloni | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Shopping | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | God Is Love | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Khozan | 3.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | E. P. Milton | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Pickford | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Candy Tycoon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | B Determined | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shofar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rough Draft | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Chico Charlie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cavendish | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Second Louie | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coronation Time | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bermuda Run | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Galactic Glory | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run for Your Life | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Realization | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rushin Tothecircle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Simon’s Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Paper Mansion | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thisnameisokay | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lifelovenlaughter | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ruda | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Digging Broad | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Naval Empire | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surya | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Outofthe Blue | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Tell Deren | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Charmed Way | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C C Royal | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Dahlia | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Therearenorules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Galilei | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sandra D | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One Way Farrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Bandit | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summerstateofmind | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dream River | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Hammer | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Honor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wesley Thomas | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Bastogne | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hazednconfused | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Asta | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Going Up | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Psychedelic Shack | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vamos Viejo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barzini | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Is a Pal | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inevtabl Conection | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grateful Bred | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Master | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Swill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Whirlwind Ride | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shape Note | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Man | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Z Og | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruffner | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Ask Watts | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wora | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | King Covee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uniwinner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Doc Linkous | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Always a Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bolt of Aurum | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Incinerator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Remembering Lizzy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Catalina | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasurethemoment | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Brick | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risk and Regret | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honestly | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divining Smile | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Geisha | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tres Aries | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Need a Miracle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.