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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wisconsin Gal 0 0-1
6 6 Wisconsin Gal 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Moochie Girl 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Keyana 3.50 5 9-1
9 9 Lasko Lady 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Princesa Starlet 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Lovely Words 5.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Lil Breezzy 4.50 7.6 14-1
10 10 My Bossy Lady 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Mimi’s Grace 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Shanett 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tell Me When 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Posh Playday 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Stand by You 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Always Smiling 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Awesome Annmarie 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Li’l Miss Camille 30.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ruvies in Time 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Lil Town Sis 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Abitibi 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hit That Review (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Caribbean Wind 2.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Restore (FR) 5.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 El Oso 30.00 8 15-1
12 12 Sharp Swinger 15.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Jack’s Promise 6.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Ornato 30.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Unlock Your Heart 20.00 11.5 22-1
9 9 One Improbable 20.00 11.9 22-1
1 1 Zun Reyder 30.00 12.1 23-1
6 6 Fling Ready 12.00 12.5 24-1
11 11 Invisible 20.00 12.6 24-1
13 13 Sweet La Crema 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Poppa Echo 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Galantini 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Graydaria 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Authentic Strike 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Jack’s Time 1.60 1.2 2-1
5 5 Global Legend 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Thrilla 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Look to the Cross 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Robert’s Moon 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Righteous Star 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Arrogancy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shortstop 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Blue Line 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Uncle William 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Summonyourcourage 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Livehappy 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Teen Idol 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Skyler 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Panthor 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Halfway Tempted 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wico (IRE) 1.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cape Trafalgar 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Deer District 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sahalat 15.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Fort Warren 8.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Principe Carlo 20.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Scoot Daddy 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Two Eagles River 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Pay Zone 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Time for Truth 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Perryville S.) – Perryville S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Brunacini 0 0-1
5 5 Book’em Danno 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Knightsbridge 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Goodlookinjustice 20.00 4.8 9-1
14 14 Brunacini 30.00 5 9-1
11 11 Love Me Tender 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Patriot Spirit 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Epic Ride 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Henro 12.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Banjo Chris 30.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Who Dey 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Locked 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 West Saratoga 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Save the Trees 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dilger (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Good Governance (GB) 0 0-1
3 3 Irish Aces 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Miranda Rights 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Out of Deductions 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Dripping Gold 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Paros 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 El Kabong 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Mister Muldoon 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Good Governance (GB) 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Scoobie Quando 10.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Bold Discovery 12.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Ah Jeez 20.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Taking Candy 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Quadra Island 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Lexus Raven Run S.) – Lexus Raven Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Emery 0 0-1
5 5 Emery 1.40 1 2-1
10 10 Haulin Ice 12.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 My Mane Squeeze 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Mink’s Palace 12.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Uno Le 30.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 V V’s Dream 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Fibber 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Miuccia 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Twirling Queen 10.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Riperton 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Birkin Girl 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fixin to Bee 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Running Away 1.80 5.5 10-1
6 6 Take Note of This 4.50 6.7 13-1
7 7 Evelyn Louise 6.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Kittens Stormy Gal 30.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 High Breeze (FR) 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Grove City Sunset 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Judith 10.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Risuko 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Suitefourfourthree 20.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Adrian 30.00 11.9 23-1
13 13 Jewish Mother 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Exclusive Star 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Nile Valley 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Champagne On Ice 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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