Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own the Field | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Own the Field | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Richie M | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Some Mo | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banishing | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vittorio | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Powder | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Normal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiseler | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captain Fancy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geraldraydaplegray | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapirs Valor | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D Bigalow | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Coming in Hot | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Very Bold | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Beer | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Max | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lured Away | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Razorcat | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chance Connection | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapizar’s Temper | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Ennis Town | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | McAfee | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Invisible | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Mule | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bold d’Oro | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Bold d’Oro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Gunner | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Merit | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Your Money | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Concentration | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jammin Justice | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alilnalot | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coulditbemajic | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starscape | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rewire | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Campbell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| She’s Fire | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Lute Warm | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupids Crush | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stir Crazy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Connection | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Skedaddle | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quatro Y Vinte (URU) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Lute | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Fire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azteca’s Gold | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Truculent | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polterer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Gulch | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Write Off Jerry | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Paper | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoodlum | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Point | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forge in Fire | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Runner | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | What a Country | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moonstrike (GB) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | J T’s Imagination | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Papa Yo | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrogates Spirit | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixwillberich | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shogun Be Fast | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curlins Incharge | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Face Value | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | City of Clouds | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Where Is Lisa | 50.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Point | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shakin Loose | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmeup | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarth | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Seraphia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Formaggio | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brave Samantha | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Minnesota Munny | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amarth | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Map Out | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyric Street | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centimorgan | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nerazurri | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seraphia | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catnip Hill | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In for a Spin | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bottomless Mimosa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cruz Chica | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nosleeptilbrooklyn | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Howboutdemapples | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makeup | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Care (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Hostess (SAF) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Port Townsend | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heaven Rules | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candi Girl | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Krispy Rice | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kendal Grace | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wupkar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sturgeon Moon | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stable Currency | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quinn’s Promise | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paradise City | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bless the Broken | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bonne Fille | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizmalice | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Total Heart | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caitlin Time | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five a Side | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devil’s Harvest | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Legitimize | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Harvest | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thomas Aquinas | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frontline Warrior | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Summer in Adriane | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will Take It | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mount Rundle | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Sandrin | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sea Singer (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Trip | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Azteca’s Gold | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lobo Salvaje | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Saint in the City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Count Dracula | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Peterkin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.