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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dark Thoughts 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ok Speedy 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Double Ride 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 You and Me Baby 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Call Me Sue 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 J M R Speedyverdik 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Gil’s Folly 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beaumont Drive 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Silent Diva 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sloans Sky 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lookhowpretty 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Iron Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Hyper Holiday 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Trustmydaddyissues 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Impeccable Timing 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Race Day Chance 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Texensis 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Secret Butterfly 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Prideofdistinction 0 0-1
3 3 Classy Whisper 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Prideofdistinction 1.20 1.4 3-1
1 1 Infamous Covert 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 This Dude a Breeze 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Chancel 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Green Fleet 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magic Modie 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Gather 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Shameless Affair 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Liam’s Awesome 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Victoria Elizabeth 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Makayla 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Faithful Creek 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Chicago Typhoon 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Forest Vixen 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Daddy’s Daisy 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Just On Time 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Onandonandon 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Crafty Oaks 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Dreaming of Audrey 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cefalo 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Bridge to Nowhere 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hard to Capture 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Old Secrets 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Color Force 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Taylormoon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wicked Miah 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Emerald Lake 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Proud Speaker 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Norma No 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Remembering Rhoda 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Different Drum 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Airy Fairy 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Seattle Signal 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 English Biscuit 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Its a Birdie 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rideau Hall 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Tutti Contenti 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Beyond Adversity 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Times a Breeze 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Stoke the Fire 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Raymore 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 English Actor 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fish Mooney 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Looks Lucky to Me 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ashbury 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 P. S. Rising Star 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Umneyaat 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Spider Belle 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Gabby Squared 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Villi Olento 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Lady Moonshine 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Braquet 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hyper Awakening 20.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Smiles for David 3.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Thatsitthatsall 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lady Xi 20.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Mitole Power 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Rookie Court 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Moet Monet 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Gold Forester 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Secret Gizmo 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Mrs. Hot Shot 4.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Rosieposie 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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