Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purse Thief | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Bostontonian | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purse Thief | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gardiner | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Countthebrave | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stashu | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blake James | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dbook | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cat’s Symphony | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Colonial Rose | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Prayer | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Far So Good | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vibe Check | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elodine | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat’s Symphony | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play Maker | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Political Spin | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Splendor | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Salty | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Queen | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wailua | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Wailua | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Gin N Class | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Peabody | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Fashion Kate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Candy Craze | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Birdie Rose | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ribbonsinherhair | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Idalou | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Opposite the Crowd | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Justifiable Belle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Join the Dance | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Selenaia (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nanda Dea (ARG) | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolivie (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Star | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valentina Day | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Speech | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Insensitive | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy’s Cakes Fly | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | For Flying (BRZ) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cocktailsnkringle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Copp | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hasten | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speechless | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Successful Union | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Controller | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carcar Express | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Jim | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Math Tutor | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Ashes | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arthur Jr | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Finster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Linzer | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Portofino | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cruzin Man | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Clutch | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B D Valeski | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gilded Ruler | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runnin’ Rocket | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild West Justice | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Connector | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Union Mist | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peignoir | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chilled | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crushed Ice | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Provocative | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Duet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Foreseen | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midsummer March | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arijana’s Pearl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gidget Rose Lee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saffron Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blissful | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Appointed | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch This Birdie | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequilera | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mohawk Trail | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samay (PER) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elounda Queen (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Towhead | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 5.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bali Belle | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Duval | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | General Issue (FR) | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rafaroo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bedard | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tis Charming | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Society | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Know Who You Are | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hangin in There | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Lamb | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greer’s Gold | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Stop Willis | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neon Bordeaux | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Caller | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.