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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cankton’s Cowgirl 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tensas Lu Lu 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Cajun Catalina 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Two Jet 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Bind On Earth 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Stormy Valentine 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Usain d’Oro 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Debbies Passage 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Fitzy 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Miss Target 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Viv’s Wild Aces 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Malibu Toast 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lady of Devon 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Jaydyn Cat 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bold Exaggeration 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Funtimegirl 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Cranky Sheila 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Magic Glass 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Freeform 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Easy Bet 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Mrs. Necaise 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miss Gold 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Won Day 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Love of My Heart 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Miss Distinctive 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Full Spirit 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Rosy Edge 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Carpe Horseshoe 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Triple L’s Cutter 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Katies Factor 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Be Bo 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Mischief Angel 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Cato’s Lady 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Craftroom 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Everylittlesingh 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Giant Tude 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Aurora Australis 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ruled by Spirit 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 My Idea 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Oak Hill Seniorita 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Nice Like Michelle 10.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Costa Lady 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Beat the Double 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bankroll 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dried Pepper 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Muffin Nuts 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Liken It 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Creole Charlie 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Talk to Tokey 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Top of My Game 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Supreme Capo 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Easy Big Boy 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Jazzy Justin 20.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 Pomeroy Haze 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 In the Arch 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Saint Gabriel 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cajun Ami 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Gamer Nate 5.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Court Jester 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Take Charge J J 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Mo Credo 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 J B Gray 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Throwin’ Shade 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Midnight Halo 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Red Idol 12.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 A Million Stars 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Native Star 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 B Minor 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Life Is a Banquet 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Hap Hot 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Good and Stout 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Strong Promise 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 No White Flags 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Like This 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Josh’s Dream 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scampering Ma’am 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome Becca 2.50 2.1 4-1
12 12 Taylors Magic 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Diamond Country 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Unlucky in Love 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 C C Llam 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Charluche 4.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Balitrix 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Waaboo 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Sweet Thirteen 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Dr. Boo 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Honey Pat 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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