Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strasse | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Try Harder | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlins Cruzin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Humble Joe | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Love | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Utility | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Georgie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Villanito | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pylon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Warden | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hide the Ransom | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caddy Man | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Andrew | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rahmer | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen Man | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stay Funny | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Separate Ways | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soze | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Borracho Concho | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavy Timber | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Exit Right | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vine Jet | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runyonesque | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rerally | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacohare | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Marco | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Commingling | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Balantyne | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Renegade Serenade | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Level Up | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance a Dini | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grated Coconut | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Lion | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Payday | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Cienega | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peach Perfect | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Miss | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bunny Bonus | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Expect to Be Ready | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Obstinate | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heleonortiz | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chloe Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Creative Copy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twentyeighttothree | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoke Wagon | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mask Patrol | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yo Yo Candy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What a Blast | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dual Monarchy | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grahmalamadingdong | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go East | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoppi Fischbein | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arrow Speed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Master | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ferrari Kid | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Beemster | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Gatekeeper | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patriarchal | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Striking Sparks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pando | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Dude | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Book Runner | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Group Ticket | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tricolour | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toady Hopper | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auden | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rossington | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marine Patrol | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cauteloso | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Air Force | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missouri River | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harrison C | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Maxey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.