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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jaysker 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lode of Blarney 15.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Corot 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Adios Carlos 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lucky Promise 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Broadway Pete 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Half Ours N Stormy 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Ojitos 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Wesleyan 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Bayou Beaux 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Crankshaft 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heza Priority 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bobby Merlot 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Sam’s Promise 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Livingston 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Talk of the Town 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Doce de la Noche 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Moonovermontgomery 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Corked 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Dynamic Sun 6.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Mucho Macho Cam 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Rocky Boy 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Country Cut 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Berryville Bullet 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Golden City 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kisster 6.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Lord Harmony 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Littlebitofaqueen 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Copper Crush 2.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Take It to Court 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Classy Judy G 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 William’s Legacy 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 She’s Got a Secret 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 F T W Slam 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Adieu Aces 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Alvarado Cat 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tripple D Ruller 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Calibrachoamatters 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Wishert 4.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Lovely Sassicaia 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 J L Pac Man 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Bouldering 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Baby’s Last Dance 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Our Determination 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 He’s Just Lucky 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zippy Toga 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bad Brad 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Moon Trip 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 R T’s d’Oro 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Game and Gormley 2.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Perfect Strike 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 A True Target 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 My Story 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Seeking a Soldier 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Briartown 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lo Lo’s Laughter 4.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 A Brush of Luck 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 El Deal Me Aces 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Daryl’s Bolt 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Howit Happened 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Deep State 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sparra 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Oceola 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Full of Glory 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Trabr’s Creed 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Marks Promise 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Up N Gone 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Cliff Diver 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Jeffrow 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Order Up 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Nopenottonight 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Il Capitano 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Moro Mafia 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ready to Purrform 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Inchhighatahundred 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Canal St. Cupid 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 A G’s Gem 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 My Dad’s Guitar 15.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Super Ekati 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Silver Redesdale 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Watch the Coast 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Way too Tough 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Tap to Connect 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cajun Cruiser 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Leonardo Creed 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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