Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sky Buy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heirozan | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trechmo Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal the Deal | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passing Bayou | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Opportunity | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaymyname | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sandi Sue | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Selectively Sweet | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Hard to Get | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Snob | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laguardia | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Creed | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winds of Wicklow | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Millibar | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just for the Money | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Mind | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scott Twentytwo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twenty One Kid | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have a Party | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chipotle | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bangkok Bob | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Docsgotallthecandy | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hometown Hero | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ninth of April | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Take Charge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rum Tum Tugger | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Knight Nile | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Award | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battuta d’Oro | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Fancy Free | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Finger Roll | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sabi | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aspiring Comedian | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | K’s Pick | 5.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Social Joe | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Husband Material | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Empress | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walkinaftermidnite | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella E Veloce | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chloe’s Banker | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drink This Cup | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hysterics | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad for Maddy | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geegee’s Story | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Borderline | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stella Mars | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moving in Stereo | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pageant Princess | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beastie Girl | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Boardwalk Fries | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tak E Lady | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titoschangedmyluck | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starry Hope | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avatal Hero | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Panotti | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’sarollingstone | 1.60 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana Fanny | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coolcalm Collected | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delta Charm | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You’re the One | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winkiwinki | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brzina | 1.60 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Fudge Warrior | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Art | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Egor Otay | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joel’s Boy | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Downpatrick | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foe | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uwasnreddi | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific States | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunshine Johnny | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Astride | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Harry | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Al | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outwork U | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.