Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Camie | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiergarten | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Song of Shadows | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Real Jewel | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodbine Way | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ur in Trouble | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rapida | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s My Flame | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrens Fifi | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtica | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buds N Suds | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empress Lorrayne | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Nea | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mubtadaa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daniel’s Magic | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agency | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Castle Leoch | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Took Charge | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Beach | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irideo (ARG) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Why Behave | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discrepancy | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Vienna | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Taylor | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Frost | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Kid | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One of These Days (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Choochies | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rastaman Vibe | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belmont Bill | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baldoro | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Agatino (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duran | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Juanito | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nashoba’s Joy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six Magpies (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dealers Special | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Rules | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gift of Time | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Super | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guitar Girl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toulouse Detrac | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roses n’ Chrome | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stella Starlight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Swingtime S.) – Swingtime S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moment’s Pleasure | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy Woman (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Charter (GB) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Lizzy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queens Command (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lakota Spirit | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ankyrah | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Day and Age | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Ruben M | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom’s Not Free | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rank | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cano for the Win | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Tony | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zabo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tab Walker | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dont Fight the Fed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Ice | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ferrariano | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Tripping | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Takes Three | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big George | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We Can | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capo Luigi | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brazenly | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzle the Command | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger in My Tank | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kerry Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.