Site icon Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vanellope 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 She Can Scat 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Love Like Crazy 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Flag Song Flyin 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Phone Eats First 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Maria Says So 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sister Eve 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Lost Love 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Ode to Edie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rejected Again 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Up Against It 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Copperhead Creek 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Golden Wildcat 2.50 4 8-1
8 8 Petulant Delight 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Dad’s On a Roll 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Brindisi 3.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Boys and Bullets 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Crypt 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Key Stat 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Prince of Chill 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 I Can Do Magic 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Four Days Early 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 E T’s Evasive Moon 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Splitting Stones 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Zanduhoc 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leviosa 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Peyton’s College 4.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Khozy Colby 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Rolls Royce Joyce 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Pearls and Heels 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Road to Dreams 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Pattern Bet 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Juradicial 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Military Hero 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Au Some Warrior 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Star Man Bob 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Alphadini 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Cojelo Pa Ti 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Son of Thor 5.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Brother Vinny 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Anything But Mine 8.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Dave’sboldthunder 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Airman Trevor 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ourdaydreaminggirl 0 0-1
9 9 Angel of Hope 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sandy Girl 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Carousel Queen 2.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Ourdaydreaminggirl 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shock 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mariah Kathryn 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Beyond Belief 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Delray 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Deadly Angel 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Yelena Belova 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 That Girl Charlie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Turn Up the Trees 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 The Monopoly Man 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Light the Way 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 D Day Sky 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Whiskeyromeosierra 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bronx Boys 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capo 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 I Don’t See Colors 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Puttheblameonme 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Depoli 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Catty’s Uncle 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Capital Conquest 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Disturbed 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Ego Man 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Palm Island 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Talkin Pharoah 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Bernie’s Mitts 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ahsad 0 0-1
1 1 Predicted 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Big Brown Shoes 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Mega Charlie 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Star Weaver 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Rackataptap 2.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Federal Case 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Social Group 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Minxzhippsdontleye 6.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Ahsad 5.00 7 13-1
8 8 Empire’s Score 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Notable Bob (CHI) 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version