Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Vanellope |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
She Can Scat |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love Like Crazy |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flag Song Flyin |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Phone Eats First |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maria Says So |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sister Eve |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lost Love |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ode to Edie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rejected Again |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Up Against It |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Copperhead Creek |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Wildcat |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Petulant Delight |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dad’s On a Roll |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brindisi |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boys and Bullets |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crypt |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Key Stat |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince of Chill |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Can Do Magic |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Four Days Early |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
E T’s Evasive Moon |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Splitting Stones |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zanduhoc |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Leviosa |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peyton’s College |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Khozy Colby |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rolls Royce Joyce |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pearls and Heels |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Road to Dreams |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pattern Bet |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Juradicial |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
My Military Hero |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Au Some Warrior |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Star Man Bob |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alphadini |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cojelo Pa Ti |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Son of Thor |
5.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brother Vinny |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Anything But Mine |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dave’sboldthunder |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Airman Trevor |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ourdaydreaminggirl |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Angel of Hope |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sandy Girl |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carousel Queen |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ourdaydreaminggirl |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shock |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mariah Kathryn |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beyond Belief |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Delray |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Deadly Angel |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yelena Belova |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
That Girl Charlie |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Turn Up the Trees |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Monopoly Man |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Light the Way |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
D Day Sky |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whiskeyromeosierra |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bronx Boys |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Capo |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Don’t See Colors |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Puttheblameonme |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Depoli |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Catty’s Uncle |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Capital Conquest |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Disturbed |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ego Man |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Palm Island |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Talkin Pharoah |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Bernie’s Mitts |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ahsad |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Predicted |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Brown Shoes |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mega Charlie |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Star Weaver |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rackataptap |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Federal Case |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Social Group |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Minxzhippsdontleye |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ahsad |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Empire’s Score |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Notable Bob (CHI) |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.