Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Its Just Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy One | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fracen Macho | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red in Front | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demba | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Persuasion | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barons Blitz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Kid | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grainger County | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Small Talk | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Legal Attack (GB) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Magician | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Core | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Union Colonel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cymbal Court | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Life | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Threat | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frac Right | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairway to Heaven | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Fencer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adelaide Court | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Elvis | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Collect | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Jereem | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Time to Shine | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedeeman | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Criminal Intent | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glasweigian | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Teddy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light the Lamp | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Society’s Thunder | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pine Knoll | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have a Souper Day | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Junior Hot Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rock to Fame | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bankingonamiracle | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reason to Dream | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roi Soleil | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roar of the Crowd | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warhol | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zakhari | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Display S.) – Display S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | He’s Not Joking | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Caper | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mansetti | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bucaro | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War of Destiny | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thundering | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Glorious Song S.) – Glorious Song S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winterberry | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Supreme | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Saugerties | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlotte’s Heart | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neenah | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nata Trouble | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | World Showcase | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mardene | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Out the Vote | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Featherweight | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scat Humor | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Dancer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firecracker Fiona | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Freeze | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.