Site icon Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 On the Equinox 0.80 1 2-1
8 7 Bessie Coleman 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lita Way 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 G’oro 30.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Glacier Rim 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 6 Tom’s Star 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Shoot for the Sky 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 98 Miss Will 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cajun Brother 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Rassler 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Slew’s Joy 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Worth Looking 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Impossible Task 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Divine Rascal 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tahoe Secrets 20.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Sunrise Journey 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ocasek 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Kissmeyoufool 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tommy the Train 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Royal Curlin 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Winsitwell 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Torleif 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Ignatowski 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Cangrejo 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Night Out 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sbagliato 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Oobubbakakayo 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Size Does Matter 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Petesoldfashioned 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Circleofchampions 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Bert’s Prospect 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bear Hunt 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Hot Legs Romolo 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Cupid’s Crusader 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Girlcanthelpit 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Auditory 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Stormy Gal 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Pancho Barnes 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Take Caramie 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Noble Runner 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Round in Circles 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 98 Candyinthemorning 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Proof She Zips 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Nene Diamond 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Dorie Miller 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Miz Clubcali 4.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sassy Prancelot 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 No Cap 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Clubhouse Bride 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Bold Choice 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pax a Punch 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mr. Machupicchu 1.60 1.3 2-1
8 8 Silverado Storm 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Run Abboudy Run 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Buttermaker 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Valentines Candy 30.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Citizen Barrett 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Empire Warrior 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Petrified 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mr. Thirsty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Phosphorescence (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lahaina Flavor 1.40 2.8 5-1
8 8 Jack Kerouac 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Zalamo (FR) 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Fireman Dan 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Flint Stroll 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Mongolian Altai 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Kimmer 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version