Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lovebug | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Star | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Co Heart | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kuku | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bisa | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Worry | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magnetic Beach | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bouji Is a Word | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gala Rose | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Concrete Cruiser | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dual Income | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Dax | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giftedbydesign | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desperate Proposal | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malachi | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Why Not Him | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surfin’ M | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abbi Fede | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mean Eileen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s All Charm | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | As Catch Can | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cotillard | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Town | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Marinera | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poppy the Princess | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Heat | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J Z’s Last Schance | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bless the Broken | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Module | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soaring Bird | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cathedral Beach | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trust Daddy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coppermaster | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Novgorod the Great | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Del Mo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Banishing | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Urban Legend | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alcove | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bavaria Road | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Committee of One | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glacial Power | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Al Ameeq | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtthatcounts | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | King Julien | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pensacola | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Melo | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Surf City | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Captain | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | One Giant Leap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roi Soleil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Alder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jefe de Obra (CHI) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fancy | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enclosure | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inventing | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Cave | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lexa | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steel Racer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Into the Fray | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shotgun Wedding | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reining Flowers | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flip Flops | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Mo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dear Louise | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Presha | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fine Finish | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Terra Town | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Orient | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Treasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David of Athens | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | T Kraft | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Missed the Turn | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ain’t No Disco | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | David of Athens | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patch Adams | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thousand Degrees | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | White Whale | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Global Prosperity | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ambridge | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knicks Glory | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Camp Hale | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bob Mo | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Kalahari Dreams | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Calling On Heaven | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Deny It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Coming in Hot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sycamore S.) – Sycamore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Highway Robber | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tawny Port | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Utah Beach | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Act (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugoi | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ohana Honor | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verstappen | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dataman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Blue Line | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Above | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Arrasou | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Aberdeen | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cruise Missile | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | What’s Her Number | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walk Street | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Mystery | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Endless Glow | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captive Heart | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Confidence | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Effervescent | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bah Humbug | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freak City | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Days Sober | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.