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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Millie Jean 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bewildered 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Belliqueux 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 That’sthefactjack 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Azteca Stardust 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 La Indecente 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wicked Reya 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mz Big Bucks 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Leslie’s Humor 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 La Salvadorena 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 My Shea D Lady 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lisa’s Vision 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Coldhardstare (SAF) 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Obstreperous 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Masterof the Tunes 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Broderie 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Reconcile 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vettriano 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whatchatalkinabout 4.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Big Prankster 12.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Acoustic Ave 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Excellent Timing 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Aggelos the Great 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Daufuskie Island 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Caldo Candy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Violets Smile 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 You’re Forever 2.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Find Your Joy 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Permed 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Accelerina 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Dashing Della 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Play Free Bird 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Proper Grammar 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Glen Cove S.) – Glen Cove S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jody’s Pride 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ellen Jay 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Agra 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Ready to Jam 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Time to Dazzle 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Nice as Pie 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Irish Maxima 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Golden Degree 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Ms. Tart 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kairyu (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heavenly Light 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Willful Mama 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Saratoga Snow 4.50 4.8 9-1
12 12 Leonora’s Secret 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Gabby’s Legacy 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lookin to Rock 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Vino Samara 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 National Archive 3.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Sky Low Low 15.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Lady Wisdom 20.00 11.1 21-1
4 4 I Heard Somethings 30.00 13 24-1
11 11 C C Roulette 30.00 14.2 27-1
16 16 Cha Cha Wren 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Kissed by Karma 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Timia 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Rodeo Star 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cees Get Degrees 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Backside Buzz 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dangerous Ride 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Cold as Hell 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Poppy’s Pride 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Pipes and Drums 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Screaming Uncle 30.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Principe Carlo 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Mister J T 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fiery Heart 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pioneering Spirit 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Really Good 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Mondego (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Daunt 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 McCullough 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Dynadrive 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wonderful Justice (GB) 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Kerouac 30.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Irwin (IRE) 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 My Imagination 30.00 8 15-1
12 12 Magic Michael 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Moore’s Law 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Positive Carry (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Stamp of Approval 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Its Satisfactual 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Dazzling Cruiser 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Promdatebonnie 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sunday Tiff 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Princess Buttercup 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Pay the Bills (FR) 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Looking for Ginny 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 In All My Dreams 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 The Taco Lady 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Street View 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mystical Powers 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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