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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tapit Kissit Winit 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Sol de Verano 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Runner Eyes 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Golden Test 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lazlo 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Coolcollected 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Speedy River 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tavaline 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Stolen 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Give Me the Boots 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Northern Ruby 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Sassy Melissa 3.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Kavala 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Diosa Catrina 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Hello Friends 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Seattle Causeway 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Holiday With Amy 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Lizzies Girl 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Turf and Surf 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Serenading Hall 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Its a Birdie 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Julie’s Mist 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Now You See Me 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Braquet 3.50 3 6-1
11 11 Candid Candace 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 High Treason 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Wild Queenie 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Spirit O’Tipperary 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ladies Rum 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Laughing Out Loud 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Original Me 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 More Gelato 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Legally Charitable 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Retained 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Souper Watson 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Priceless Will 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mt Logan 12.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 It’s a Fluke 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Moon Landing 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Fan Club 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Lapochka 2.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Guns n’ Rojas 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Day Tripper 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Penner Ash (IRE) 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Pat’s Gamble 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 The New Maybe 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stayhonor Goodside 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Yacht Boy 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Cooler Man 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Wet and Wild 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 North Warden 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silent Guroo 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Summer Snow 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Blazing Sky 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Know How (GB) 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Freret 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Mrs. Del 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Mi Tormenta 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Ala Turka 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princessonamission 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Secret Butterfly 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Beaumont Drive 10.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Motorin’ Maggie 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Disgruntledpelican 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Flattering Look 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Save the Date 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Olivia’s Melody 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 La Grigia 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 On Paradise Hill 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 L’Esprit 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Annia Cornificia F 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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