Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bold Talk |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Andras |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fierce Competition |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pine Alley |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cousin Giorgos |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bells Are Ringing |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stormy Hollow |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Queen of the Dance |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Little Red |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pure Magic Girl |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heybackatcha |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cainudothetwist |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Avalanche Is Comin |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magnolia Wind |
4.50 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mariano |
2.50 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Satisfied |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Singalong |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Flashy Dude |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bright Charger |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honors Due |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Imperial Brut |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flatbed Ford |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Likeagentleman |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sophisticated Cat |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Waittilmidnitehour |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Josie Wales |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Baby Blocks |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Meliponini Bee |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bunny Hop |
5.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Instparty |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hazelmoor Beach |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
15 |
15 |
Thursday Girl |
6.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
16 |
16 |
Majesty’s Freedom |
30.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
11 |
11 |
Levisa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Attached |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mollie Tapper |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Harmonizing |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Neolithica |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Love to Eat |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Brighty |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord of Mischief |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beaver State |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jasiel |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rapidity |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beach Cowboy |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Striking Six |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Gift of Gab |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Patria |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Afandi |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Social Whirl |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Angel Art |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Can |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Theodora Grace |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trixie’s Time |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lilly Simone |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Retail Therapist |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
British Sea |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Prince |
12.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ask Isaac |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
16 |
16 |
Nippy Fitz |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Got This |
20.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Master Munnings |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Owhatanite |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Fire and Knives |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Navy Admiral |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tabloid City |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Moonflyer |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
All Fruits Ripe |
30.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bayou Justice |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Gericault |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Specialagentjonson |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Burroughs Cay |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Petingas Twin |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Easy Days |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swill |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Cents |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bouncer |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whiskey and You |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Cefalu (FR) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lorraine (FR) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Soundbite |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Akayla (IRE) |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hidden Presence |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mendee |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reppazz |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Acqualina |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cefalu (FR) |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
You’re the Top |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
In This Moment |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.