Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Munnings Model | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostly Spitfire | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calusa Donnie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Jewel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Chances | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamateur | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Almasty | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pennyjet | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play the Dots | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | English Jubilee | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weller Green | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Magnifico | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motion Granted | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bowman’s Run | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aryeh | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Froginapond | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Last Kiss | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sprung Loose | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roikop | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Valour | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Ribbon | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Painted Glory | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cloud Rider | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Sweets | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Why Em Sea Ay | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rush to Glory | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quest to Be Proud | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Blush | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katherine’s Gem | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashbury | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princessofthenorth | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Umneyaat | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizzen Ash | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make No Mistake | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady in Red | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gabby Squared | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Moonshine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Silent Guroo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Melissa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Diosa Catrina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Realm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lonny’s Gamble | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glintindaddyseye | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Guest | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lasting Silence | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Ride | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carnew | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Charted Map | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good King Sam | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conacher | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Out N Out Disgrace | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Starvin | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shinigami | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Puzzlement | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Special Session | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Attack | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awe Inspired | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scuderia | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Man | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sugar Buzz | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Watsonville Red | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ylivoimainen | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mohaymen Diamond | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Law | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fun Fella | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Memories | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thundering | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | No More Options | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Sunday | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fighter in the Win | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetyfour Expos | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arabian Prince | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Knight | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McAvoy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Breaking Alone | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grande Soiree | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nerves of Steel | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Laraque | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Day Tripper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Guns n’ Rojas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jim’s Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sherif Ali | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Junior Hot Shot | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Decision | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Charlie | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myra’s Boy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wyoming Bill | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawkesbury | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collective Force | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exude | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Cup And Saucer S.) – Cup And Saucer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scorching | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notorious Gangster | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faber | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley’s Archer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dewolf | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready for Candy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Time | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess of Storm | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kokomo | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dilwaala | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shirl’s Speight | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Surprised | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palio | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Django | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last Dawn | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandson | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clear Destination | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Simcoe | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maakwa | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Conman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Whisper Not (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.