Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Anchises | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moving to Kentucky | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westeros | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sound of Victory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Munyhungry | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crabtree | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | National Eclipse | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crusader Conrad | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anglican | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wyoming Class | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Love’s the Answer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bit O Storm | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Equal Success | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wherever We Are | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Western Woman | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Bebsi | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wickedrevolution | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Lady | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jailhouse Religion | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Melly’s Birkin | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Hear You | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Tifeye | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sunna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Good Long Cry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yellow | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Sunshine | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bread to Run | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emmy Blue | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bembridge Ledge | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonja Henie | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reagan Alice | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rather Distinct | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Angel Does | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zealous Moon | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Happy Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Make a Million | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tizntshelovely | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nile Valley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Grove City Sunset | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C K Wonder | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Gallivant | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cromwell | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tremendously | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Limit | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To Monarch | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Itsinmyblood | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cuban Cowboy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Triple Up | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crooked Bullet | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prom King | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Montador | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Carson | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Apollo Ten | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hedwig | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit’s Mischief | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Heart | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Shiesty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bear River | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Horsepower | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Summer in Adriane | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | How’s Ur Attitude | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | World Record | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Barksdale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Whatchatalkinabout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Baxley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lloyd | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Like a Saltshaker | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spycraft | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charter Oak | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blow Torch | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Communication Memo | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Shot | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Born Flawless | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Grass Is Blue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Cerrito | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King of Kentucky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Homer’s Odyssey | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Saikali | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tuscaloosa | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tavern Time | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Render Judgment | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spinback | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Sommelier | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cant Stop Munnings | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Built | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Into Inspiration | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cornhuskerchris | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Controller | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wise Decision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pharoah’s Dynasty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Governor Sam | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Liberty | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out On Bail | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jet Sweep Joe | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Floodlites | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raise the Bar | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Sniper | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fiddling Felix | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G W’s Girl | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Gal Party | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Keep Looking | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamaway | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Juddmonte Spinster S.) – Juddmonte Spinster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idiomatic | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Idiomatic | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loved | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candied | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor D Lady | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Occult | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Castle & Key Bourbon S.) – Castle & Key Bourbon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Clock Tower | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warlander | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giocoso | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reach for the Rose | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Siesta Key | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fleming | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warheart | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minaret Station | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Papiamento | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Afternoon | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cavallo Bay (GB) | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baytown Baracus | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barricade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Coalmoon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Poster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.