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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pam Pam 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mytown Myrules 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Miss Fashionista 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Elliptic 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Brooklyn Dantz 20.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Big Hazel 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Bella Voce 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Last Glory 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Beldame S.) – Beldame S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Raging Sea 0 0-1
4 4 Raging Sea 0.20 1 2-1
3 3 Libban 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Batucada 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Majestic Creed 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Signal From Noise 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Frosty O Toole 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Khali Magic 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Fancy Azteca 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Rachel’s Rock 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Willow Bend 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Midtown Lights 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Captainsdaughter 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Mosienko 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Vino Paella 0 0-1
12 12 Lightning Mama 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bubbe Dearest 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Someone 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 T D Magee 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 D’s a Rock 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Vino Paella 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Just Words 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Speed and Beauty 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Awesome Roberta 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Honey in the Bank 10.00 7 13-1
11 11 Silent Sandy 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Selectively Sweet 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Magenta 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Good Conduct 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Wild and Free 6.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Chelsey’s Choice 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Forward Deployed 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Jenn 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Dr Glick 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Pookie 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Soothe 15.00 4 8-1
1 3 She’s Fascinating 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Paraiba Blue 50.00 4.9 9-1
1A 12 McKinzie’s Glory 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Miss Grillo S.) – Miss Grillo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s Got Will 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shifty 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Scythian 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Virgin Colada 3.50 5.5 10-1
11 11 Correto 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Salt 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Rare Art 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Grace and Grit 20.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Marvelous Madison 10.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Lavender Disaster 4.50 9.8 19-1
1 1 Daisy Flyer 30.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Annie Goodbody 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
National Identity 0 0-1
6 6 Rock Star Rebel 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Three B’s 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Spirit of the Law 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Empire of Angels 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Keepinitreal 1.60 8.2 15-1
7 7 Resilient Hero 30.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 National Identity 6.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Free Dance 15.00 10 19-1
1 1 Renew the Blue 15.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Uncle Barrie 50.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Share the Ludt 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Matron S.) – Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Civetta 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Abientot 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Serene Spirit 15.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Yougottahavehope 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Will Not Be Swayed 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Second Chance 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 I’mwishingonastar 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Laurice 3.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Miriam’s Fire (GB) 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Flirting With Time 6.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Baytown Butterfly 30.00 11.1 21-1
6 6 Pop Idol 10.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Fly Right 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Spirit Prince 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Samburu (GB) 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Barrage 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Itsallcomintogetha 6.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Bring Me a Check 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 More Vino 50.00 4 8-1
4 4 Unit Economics (GB) 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Walley World 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Ramblin’ Wreck 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Victors Valiant 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Border War 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Certified Loverboy 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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