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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pocket Pair 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Izzy 15.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Secret Soul 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Pat’s Holiday 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Seven P R C 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 No Visor 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Serenading Kitten 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 J M R Tacita 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Will Then 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Echo With Laughter 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Frank’s Art 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Three Sonny Sideup 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Salvator Mundi 3.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Fast Boat to Skye 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Decimator 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Dragon’s Brew 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Commander Joe 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Mannix (IRE) 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lemoncella Spritz 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hymn to Her 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Top of D Mountain 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Serious Green 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Kee’s Flatter 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Rhaenyra 2.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Regal Moment 3.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Helana 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Swinging Mandy 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Poppy’s Joy 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kitten’s Romance 8.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Perfect Lady Bee 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Destiny Ro 3.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Mi Corazon 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Gloriannia 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Amazin Queen 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Flying Black 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 My Girl Sky 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Rashmi 8.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 She Makes a Point 20.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Voice From Above 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Bet365 Algonquin S.) – Bet365 Algonquin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bullet 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Unbridled Weather 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dare to Breeze 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 French Horn 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sharedashenanigans 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mi Bago 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Mensa 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Pop Rox 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Hpibet Singspiel S.) – Hpibet Singspiel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Palazzi 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lac Macaza 6.00 2.3 4-1
14 14 Truly Quality 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Malibu Mambo 10.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Like the King 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Stone Age (IRE) 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Highland Chief (IRE) 15.00 4 7-1
11 11 Eyes On the King 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 English Conqueror 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dancin in Da’nile 30.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Eldon’s Prince 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Spinzar 30.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Dun Drum 30.00 8 15-1
5 5 Loose Wire 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz Her Money 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Yorkton Rose 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Drexel Hill 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Orient Beach 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 North York 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Nashyan 3.50 6.8 13-1
8 8 Salmiakki 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Aristella 10.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Alta Calibre 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bet365 Dance Smartly S.) – Bet365 Dance Smartly S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fev Rover (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mission of Joy 6.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Sparkle Blue 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Millie Girl 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Nadette (FR) 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Mouffy 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dolce Sopresa 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Princess Calla (SAF) 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Canisy 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Tax Implications (GB) 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Spansive 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Queen Macha 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Nearctic S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Nearctic S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Patches O’Houlihan 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 15.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Bring Theband Home 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 First Empire 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 War Bomber (IRE) 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dhabab (IRE) 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Outlaw Kid 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Caroline Street 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Flag Of Honour (AUS) 4.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bal a Kazoo 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Let My People Go 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Encourageachother 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Never Silent 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Mason’s Music 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bedazzle Me 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Antenna 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Olympic Fencer 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Pemberley 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Well Into 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just a Gem 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Heliocentric 20.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Duval Street 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Port Renfrew 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Mardene 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Empire’s Treat 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Silent Passion 20.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Under Agreement (FR) 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Arrakasta Istoria 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Noyzee Girl 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mia Mitole 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Why Em Sea Ay 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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