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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Deetz 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Saturn’s Ghost 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ruby Tiger 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bouvier 4.50 4.2 8-1
11 11 Stubold 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Whodoyoulikehere 15.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Royal Prado 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Queen McKinzie 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Misscoltfortyfive 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Ole Red Wing 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Surprise Coco 30.00 9 17-1
10 10 Not One Less 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Mary Nell 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Souper Zonda 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Smile Po 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Hello Hello Hello 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Valiant Kiss 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Rocio 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lemonpeppasteppa 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nvdia 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Valiant Girl 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 La Dinamita 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Orquidea Real 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Cicatriz 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Das Ist Alles Ally 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mama Maritza N 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Valentina Minister 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mrs. Clean 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Happy Sunday 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Widerthanamile 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Meet Me in the Air 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Instagrand Girl 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Better Than Better 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Weather Lady 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 I Stand Collected 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Right Angle 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hey River 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Honeyman 1.80 1.2 2-1
5 5 Ice the Kicker 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Splendid Summer 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Candy Street 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Flatter Me 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Samaritano 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ensign Skip 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Church Girl 0 0-1
2 2 Bayernee 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Zoya’s Faith 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Chica Music 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Ethel 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Noelle 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Practical Vale 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Black and Silver 30.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Church Girl 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Wicked Ice 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fortune Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zaino 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Iron Man Jimmy 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Three Wolves 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Guaio 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Intolerable 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Youramystyle 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Moral Agency 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Rapscallion 15.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Heathcliff 30.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Tiz the Coast 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Chromotion 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 In the Blue 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Super Sailor 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Insurmountable 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Fly Commander 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Wordondastreet 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Silver Punch 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Milazzo 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lastabitlonger 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tempo Ride 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Next Right Thing 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pawky 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Okay Fine 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Burnaway 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Beach Ready 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Simply Striking 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sals Dream Girl 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Fantasy Performer 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gilded Edge 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 No Valla 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Lincoln Park 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sleepwalker 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ipanema Princess (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dr. Perry 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Urge to Merge (IRE) 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Banneker 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Kern River 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lukas Prince 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sir Banana Brian 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Black Seal 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Racket 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Goes the Clown 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Artempus 8.00 2 4-1
10 10 Fly Erik Fly 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Beach Gold 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Son of a Slew 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Sunday Song 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Operatnthunderbolt 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Il Siciliano 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cruising 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Inherent Promise 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bell Mountain 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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