Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cuando | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Upstanding | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masmak | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party With Smarty | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomorrow’s Wish | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Sight | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luca On Point | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Monte Avi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocked Out | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gimme Gimme | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Warrior | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bookitwithhaddad | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stegosaurus | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Paulie P | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nyikos | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viking Warrior | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danziger | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magni | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Equivoque | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Satin | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tivy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bramito | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daufuskie Island | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick to Accuse | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leddy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Natural Harbor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Chief | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Legal Deal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joking Way | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Show | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sagamore Mischief | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Flight | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorary Degree | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alternate Reality | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket and Roll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.) – Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson’s Run | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Dashman | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carson’s Run | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deterministic | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desvio | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Daddy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Rezeen | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legend of Time (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Belmont Turf Sprint S.) – Belmont Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Angel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Kingdom | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nothing Better | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senbei | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alogon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Birch | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maya Prince | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Axthelm | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Kid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Jericho | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Frizette S.) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Lassie | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Icona Mama | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Another Cleeshay | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Social Fortress | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Lassie | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Queens M G | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Snowyte | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pondering | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatintheliteral | 50.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Senza Parole | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Paradise City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Champagne S.) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chancer McPatrick | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Executive Order | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Plex | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smoken Wicked | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tip Top Thomas | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lethal Speed | 50.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vekoma Rides | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J J Zo Zo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Bob | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaged | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miztertonic | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transactional (GB) | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Topic Changer | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barnstorming | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Front Man | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Our Country | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palace View (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mickey Shillelagh | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Dash | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Addicted to You | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outtawaterbury | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Got It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nostalgic One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Funny Uncle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Treaty Obligation | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | More Vino | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Off Script | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eleni | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Open Flame | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Endless Vow | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Material Girl | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bernieandtherose | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amelia | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fifi La Fume | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ineedapop | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kay Cup | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Usha | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tower Twenty Two | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Russi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Curtis Run | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rough Draft | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tall Paul | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Maxwell Esquire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scuttlebuzz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Yarrow | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Feathers Road | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Lotsa Trouble | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Flavor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kreesa | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vacation Dance | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Big Prankster | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Very Satisfactory | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon Outlaw | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fire Baron | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bolt d’Plata | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hurricane Express (FR) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flicker (GB) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Steadfast Resolve | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Midway Lights | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Get Ready to Rock | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chasing Mo Money | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Still a Soldier | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Always Be Smart | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Change Your Name | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Salacious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.