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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lucky in Love 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Wicked Kitten 1.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 La de Peluche 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Heavenly Ciella 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Pretty Coast 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Chachita 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Paradise Valley 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Excitable Boy 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Rainy Skies 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Get Set 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Meet Me At Mundis 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Showstopper Copper 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Portis 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Toady Hopper 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Long Astride 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Tabloid 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Walker’s Gap 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Lilengthatcould 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mary Katherine 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Fire At Midnight 8.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Surprisingly Sweet 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Sister Nell 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mya C 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 American Peaches 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Canny Land 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Hot Bottom Girl 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Bella Mama 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Smart Red 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Search 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zoomer 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Helms Deep 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Canadian Pharoah 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Striking Speed 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Edge of Glory 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Greyzer 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Home School 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Majestic Tiger 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Bar Down Express 8.00 6 11-1
12 12 Run Cory Run 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Trophy Room 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Afy Kid 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hidden Motive 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Grey Flannel Boss 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Whizbang 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Quahog Republic 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Kakao 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Kitten’s Ploy 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Chill Boss 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Flame Dancer 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Surfin’ M 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 What Does It Take 1.50 1 2-1
4 4 Street Glide 1.80 1.9 4-1
7 7 Jasper’s Pride 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Optical Bijou 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Renewing Vows 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 The Colora Kid 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Aspiring Comedian 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Olive Kat 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Betcha Boots Babe 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Lovely Liza 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Parisian Vibe 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Thunder Boss 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Fabulous Candy 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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