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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red River Rebel 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Truebelieve 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Forester’s Fortune 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Rat Portage 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Garofoli 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Cotton 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Souped Up 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Told It All 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Helluva Holiday 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Frankie’s Girl 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Text Me Up 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Awildas Treasure 20.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Delphia 4.00 5 10-1
9 9 Winyah Bay 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Pluie d’Avril 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Umneyaat 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bequia 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady in Red 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All My Tomorrows 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Princess O Denmark 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Silent Patsy 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Texensis 12.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Ami’s Girl 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Flattering Look 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Scotty’s Love Chil 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Eva’s Record 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 L’Esprit 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Reverse Psychology 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Secret Butterfly 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Featherweight 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Audax Minor 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mad Chatter 20.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Commander Worsley 2.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Ok Speedy 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Diva’s Ghost 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Gee Power 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Irish Deputy 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Baptist Billy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I Love to Win 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Onejabtoomany 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Scary Speedy 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ada May 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Soupergirl 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Enchanted Forest 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stealin’time 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Onella 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Worry Less 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Chipotle Pepper 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Shameless Affair 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Magical Trick 2.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Rocket Riley 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Two Sip Sally 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cinnamon Bits 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Kid Gizmo 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Poetic Amy 20.00 2 4-1
4 4 Tirupati 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Blackdiamond Dinny 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Super Sicily 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pennyjet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Remembering Rhoda 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Systematic 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Dial a Cliche 12.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Gunnawin 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Alberta Be Mine 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Gizmo’s B F F 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Very Savvy 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Different Drum 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Blazing Sky 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Swirling Dancer 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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