Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Up in Flames |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pipi N Mimi |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flex Warrior |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gordito |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bad Boy Blaze |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gala Star |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Work for Peace |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Walkonthewildside |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Steam Knot |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dead Sexy |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Intro |
30.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Keep It Sweet |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Not Guilty |
1.60 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kake’s Tap Dancer |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
X Gene |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Working On It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Independence Way |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Baywatch Blonde |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Super Spin |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Iced Mocha |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Sugar Boo |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tooshay |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
South Pacific |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Skip Thru Da Fire |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just the Thing |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Divine Spirit |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frosty Maya |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Stormy Irish Lass |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Radiant Tones |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drink Deeply |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gotanothathingcomn |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Boys Go to Jupiter |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Smilingontheinside |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abundant Love |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Gathered |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Pharoah’s Marc |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Canadian Bear |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Winning Streep |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
The Sugars |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Julia’s a Fox |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Commemorative |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Seger Songs |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Social Love |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
American Law |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tops the Chart |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mose Perfect |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cajun Dream |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Penny Loafer |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Energy Efficient |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Your Analysis |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Martini Martin |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Inevtabl Conection |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Hustle |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Easy Action |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Matta |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Flyin Mike |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cloudy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Noble Jon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fluid Situation |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Vamos Viejo |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Coast Along |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Barzini |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Stickwiththecolors |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spencerian |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Planet Clare |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stop the Cap |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Venomous Vixen |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coal Mine |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Heidelberg |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Marley’s Ghost |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Derbyness |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Italian Symphony |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Steady John |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hometown Hero |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mister Agent |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kerouac |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
P Money |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Missionaire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Gettin’downonit |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Prowling Tiger |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.