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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leader of Men 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mega Charlie 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Grand Pick 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Saint Marco 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Shanghai Superfly 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Semper Fidelis 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Super John 4.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Long Gray Line 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Federal Case 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sophia’s Prince 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Checking Boxes 1.80 3.6 7-1
4 4 Plenty of Time 2.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Milagroso 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Zona de Amigos 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Travel Guide 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unadulterated 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fast Mule 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Gangster Rap 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Happy Union 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 A Bit Bad N Boujee 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Princess Sophie 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Souper Fly Over 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Hotpot 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Crypt 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pardsy 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Power Agenda 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Rejected Again 3.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Captain Chazz 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Checkitup 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Sheer Dominance 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Dos de Oros 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 My Brother Charlie 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 First Squad 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Rumaway 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bold Hoppertunity 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Khopesh 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frosted Diamond 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Made Birdie 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bright Kohana 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Burning Embers 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 One of the Ones 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Brooklyn Heights 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 All Hail Mo 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stay Funny 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Soze 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Try Harder 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Grahmalamadingdong 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Chineseiam 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Warrior’s Way Out 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Crack the Code 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 The Grayt Pumpkin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Noble Gaston 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Final Shot 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ego Man 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ninja Prize 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Midlaner 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Enforcer 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Amusing Mischief 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Easy Day 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fast Gal 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Pretty Lily 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Flag Song Flyin 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Job’s Not Finished 15.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Revolu 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Independent 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Treasure Peace 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Fancy Scepter 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Onthisharvestmoon 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Five Star Fran 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Sweetest Moment 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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