Site icon Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hold Out 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sneaking Suspicion 3.50 1.3 2-1
13 13 Washington’s Union 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Formal Affair 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Bill of Rights 1.80 4.5 8-1
6 6 Three Captains 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Better Watch It 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Hard Traveler 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Omni King 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Coaches Meeting 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Penny Loafer 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Contempt 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Try Harder 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mike the Bomb 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Speak Your Mind 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hidewright Away 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Esperannna 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Sapphire Beauty 1.20 4.2 8-1
1 1 Watch Me Disappear 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Early Frost 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wonder Girl 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Reassess 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Sophisticated Cat 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 I’m a Cutie Pie 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Photo Finish 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 True Sunshine 3.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Queen Jelly Bean 30.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Enemynumbernine 30.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Hazelmoor Beach 30.00 8.4 16-1
15 15 Shake It Baby 12.00 10.3 19-1
5 5 Nuwanda 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mollie Tapper 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Waittilmidnitehour 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hot Dance 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Bunny Hop 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Noble Fish 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 El Divino Nino 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Cavendish 1.80 2.2 4-1
4 4 Chinny Tin Tin 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Zalfierro 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Right Quick 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Coronation Time 5.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Rushin Tothecircle 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 15 Visby 3.50 1 2-1
7 6 Golden Tabby 2.00 1 2-1
9 8 Yesternight 20.00 1.2 2-1
2 1 Simply Stated 1.80 2 4-1
10 9 C C Royal 20.00 2.1 4-1
14 13 Deeds of Love 4.00 7.7 14-1
4 3 Make It a Double 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Social Whirl 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Cavalier Cupid 8.00 SCRATCH
1 14 Gastown Babe 3.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Fast Giselle 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Gift of Gab 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Determined Jester 15.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Alla Breve 3.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Share the Blessing 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moncrief 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Boss Man J J 15.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 All the Way 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Dream River 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Irish Bandit 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Bigdaddysboy 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Chat Blanc 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Paco the Taco Man 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hazednconfused 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sweet Asta 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Get Like Mike 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Southern Horse (ARG) 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cactus 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Outkissed 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Ikigai 6.00 5 9-1
13 13 Rad Paisley 2.50 6.8 13-1
14 14 Bomboloni 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Guaponess 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Monster Mason 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Bourbon and Ice 12.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Love You Much 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Zip Line to Heaven 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Declaration Time 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Sue Loves Barbados 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Smitten Enough 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Who Says So 30.00 1 2-1
1 1 Buoyant 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Align 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Bright Charger 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Global Phenom 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sir Chance a Lot 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Military Grade 3.50 6 11-1
8 8 Phil’s On the Run 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ruda 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gold Digging Broad 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Lifelovenlaughter 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Don’t Tell Deren 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Laddies Song 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Princess Javoncia 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Tic Tic Tic Boom 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Therearenorules 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Galilei 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lady Outofthe Blue 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bandits Heart 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Johnnyfrenchfri 1.40 1.5 3-1
5 5 Great Days Ahead 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Kbcya Later 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Veselsky 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Speakerit 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Jester’s Song 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version