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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Excelia (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Asada Fries 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Ang N Ash 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Ivory Moon 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Ragtime Rose 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jennifer’s d’Light 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Party On Girl (IRE) 2.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rebalation 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Lovin’ On the Run 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Shin Jidai (GB) 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Day and Age 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Kalea Bay 0.40 1.4 3-1
6 6 Missile Cruiser 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 I’m a Dude To 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Smartier 20.00 3 6-1
4 4 Grinnell 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dairago (FR) 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Spycatcher 1.60 2.9 5-1
1 1 Running Spartan 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Brave Blend 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Rostovsky 2.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Goodfella (IRE) 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 American Only 6.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Spearfish 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mystic Spirit 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cornell 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Pony Express 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fifty Cent Dollars 30.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Leyas Candy 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Brazenly 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ready to Pounce 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Unzip Me S. Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Unzip Me S. Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Zona Verde (IRE) 4.50 1 2-1
12 10 Alluring 12.00 1.4 3-1
11 9 Toupie 2.50 1.6 3-1
13 11 Wrigleyville 20.00 2.2 4-1
10 8 Golden Canary 8.00 2.6 5-1
14 12 Queen Maxima 20.00 3 6-1
8 6 Sea Dancer 15.00 3 6-1
3 2 Visually 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Roberta’s Love 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 Omaha Girl 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Antifona (FR) 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dreamfyre 4.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Andiamo Ragazza 0.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Back On Track 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Pavel’s Etoile 6.00 1 2-1
5 4 Going Deep 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Only After Midnite 20.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Rizzleberry Rose 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Cloudy Rose 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 You Decide 15.00 5.4 10-1
14 13 Gobernadora Ely 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Grateful My Love 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Teh Teh 30.00 5.8 11-1
13 12 Petite Treat 20.00 6.7 13-1
12 11 Lani’s Sweetheart 50.00 7 13-1
11 10 Expect Love 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 98 Grazen Gator 0.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Maria Tallchief 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (California Crown John Henry Turf Championship S. Presented By 1/st Bet) – California Crown John Henry Turf Championship S. Presented By 1/st Bet

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cabo Spirit 0 0-1
3 3 Divin Propos (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 4.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Master Piece (CHI) 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Cabo Spirit 30.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Rockemperor (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 There Goes Harvard 6.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Balnikhov (IRE) 5.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Seven Wonders 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Big Blue Line 20.00 9 17-1
8 8 El Encinal (ARG) 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (California Crown Eddie D S. Presented By Fanduel) – California Crown Eddie D S. Presented By Fanduel

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 First Peace 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 King of Gosford (GB) 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Air Force Red 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Big Invasion 3.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Fast Buck 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Johnny Podres 3.50 8 15-1
10 10 Noble Reflection 30.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Boss Sully 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Two Rivers Over 8.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Eamonn 20.00 10.3 20-1
8 8 Step Forward 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (California Crown S. Presented By Sirdavis American Whisky) – California Crown S. Presented By Sirdavis American Whisky

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 National Treasure 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Muth 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Senor Buscador 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Subsanador (ARG) 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Newgate 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Katonah 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Indispensable 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (City Of Hope Mile S. Presented By Myracehorse) – City Of Hope Mile S. Presented By Myracehorse

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Conclude 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Johannes 0.80 1.1 2-1
7 7 Astronomer 20.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Du Jour 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Almendares (GB) 10.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Packs a Wahlop 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Trikari 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Easter (FR) 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Irideo (ARG) 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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