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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Patty Van Twinkle 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Designer 6.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Flower Mound 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Ghee for the Win 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Profitunity 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Still Game 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Doris’ Slaying It 30.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Run Around Slew 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lenamagnetta 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Conquest Dancer 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wellareyouhappynow 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Disputed Claim 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Uncle Cat 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Play Like a Raven 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Suga Steve 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bolt of Aurum 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Phantom Speed 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Blue Kingdom 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Jolly by Golly 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Order Ofthe Kettle 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Starlifter 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Drilling for Gold 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Chachaching 30.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Karma’s Inthehouse 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Jackal 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Smart Uncle 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mortal Sin 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fouroneohsmokeshow 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Akayla (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Lorraine (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Channel Loop 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dropping Lemons 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Volta d’Oro 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Easter Sunday Girl 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Margaret P 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Urban Dancer 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sultry Sky 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Learning to Fly 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Float On By 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Buzzaway 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Amelia’s Joy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Artistic Reason 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Walk Away Joe 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Morning Thoughts 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Sagrada Ray 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Formal Order 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gambling Tzar 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Goodluckchuck 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Aliferous 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Impetud 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Selima S.) – Selima S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Charm 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Pure Majestic 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Sail Theseven Seas 10.00 4.9 9-1
14 14 Strong Like Sara 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Swan House 4.00 7 13-1
13 13 Burner Account 30.00 12.4 23-1
11 11 Dear Louise 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bonne Fille 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Winning Streep 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Serene Spirit 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Correto 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sweet Treasure 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bembridge Ledge 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Good Long Cry 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 As Catch Can 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Social Love 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dazzling Move 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Give Me Kisses 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sandra D 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Golden Charm 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Kissedbyanangel 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mavilus 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ginger Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Musical Note 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Japan Turf Cup S.) – Japan Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tide of the Sea 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Yamato 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Irish Cork 1.80 2.3 4-1
9 9 Dean Martini 15.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Hay Chief 30.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Max Swagger 50.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lord Flintshire 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 California Frolic 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Dripping Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dataman 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Laurel Futurity) – Laurel Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kitty’s Son 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Notmyfirstrodeo 30.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Reggie Runs Rogue 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Studlydoright 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Surfside Moon 20.00 5 9-1
11 11 Gotta Have a Guy 30.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Just a Fair Shake 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Pascaline 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Hard Circle 4.50 7.3 14-1
1 1 Stormy Flight 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Soleil Volant 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Jus Too Fly 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Academy 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lazlo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bold Diversion 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wickeddivine 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Nothing But Heir 1.60 3.4 6-1
7 7 General Maximus 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tom’s Gold 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ecumenical 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lil Sebastian 1.80 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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