Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Patty Van Twinkle |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Designer |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Flower Mound |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ghee for the Win |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Profitunity |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Still Game |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Doris’ Slaying It |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run Around Slew |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Lenamagnetta |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Conquest Dancer |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Wellareyouhappynow |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Disputed Claim |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncle Cat |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Play Like a Raven |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Suga Steve |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bolt of Aurum |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Phantom Speed |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Kingdom |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jolly by Golly |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Order Ofthe Kettle |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Starlifter |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Drilling for Gold |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chachaching |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Karma’s Inthehouse |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
The Jackal |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Smart Uncle |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mortal Sin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Fouroneohsmokeshow |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Akayla (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Lorraine (FR) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Channel Loop |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dropping Lemons |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Volta d’Oro |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Easter Sunday Girl |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Margaret P |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Urban Dancer |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sultry Sky |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Learning to Fly |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Float On By |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Buzzaway |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Amelia’s Joy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Artistic Reason |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Walk Away Joe |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Morning Thoughts |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sagrada Ray |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Formal Order |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gambling Tzar |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Goodluckchuck |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Aliferous |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Impetud |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Selima S.) – Selima S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
My Charm |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pure Majestic |
20.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sail Theseven Seas |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
14 |
14 |
Strong Like Sara |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Swan House |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Burner Account |
30.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dear Louise |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Bonne Fille |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Winning Streep |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Serene Spirit |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Correto |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Treasure |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bembridge Ledge |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Good Long Cry |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
As Catch Can |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Social Love |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dazzling Move |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Give Me Kisses |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sandra D |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Charm |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kissedbyanangel |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mavilus |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ginger Girl |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Musical Note |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Japan Turf Cup S.) – Japan Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tide of the Sea |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yamato |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Cork |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dean Martini |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hay Chief |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Max Swagger |
50.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lord Flintshire |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
California Frolic |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Dripping Gold |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Dataman |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Laurel Futurity) – Laurel Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kitty’s Son |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Notmyfirstrodeo |
30.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
13 |
13 |
Reggie Runs Rogue |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Studlydoright |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Surfside Moon |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gotta Have a Guy |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Just a Fair Shake |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pascaline |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hard Circle |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stormy Flight |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Soleil Volant |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Jus Too Fly |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Academy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lazlo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bold Diversion |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wickeddivine |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nothing But Heir |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
General Maximus |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tom’s Gold |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ecumenical |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lil Sebastian |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.