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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Insolent 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Red Abarrio 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Praiseworthy 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Palpito 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 No Plebeian 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bullet Blues 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Jiminy 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Rags Special 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Flashover 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mister Cooper 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Nimmo 15.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Dixie Preach 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Blaze of Color 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Starship Magellan 1.80 4 8-1
2 2 Highland Peak 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ragman 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Dynamic Empire 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mish 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Loco Abarrio 2.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hurricane J 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Big Effect 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sound of the Beast 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Gatsby 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sheila’s Mission 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Nelida 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Captivating Sound 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Marvelous Lady 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Naa Dudette 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Musical Journey 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Anonymous Source 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Repaynt 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Holiday Fantasy 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Boldness 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 Trappezoid 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 My Friends Beer 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Millennium Condo 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Burning Man 2.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Drillomatic 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tank 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Lawler 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Big Paradise 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Always a Gentleman 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Sneaky Sneaky 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Zaddy 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Bohemian Style 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Roundtriptoitaly 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mrs. Katz 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Escape Room 12.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Rotondo 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Unrelentless 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Free to Roam 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Mobay Princess 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Plagne Champagne 10.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Lady O’Brien 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Gimme Mo Baby 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 C. S. Vivace 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Welcome Back 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stiletto Heels 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Crimson 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Trevess 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Girvin Girl 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Qualificata 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Brown Eyed Beauty 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Sweet Temptation 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hollywood Beach S.) – Hollywood Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nostalgia’s Smile 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mila’s Wish 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ghostly Rose 1.80 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lazio 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Most Handsome 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Discreet Dancer 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Moon Factor 10.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Noble N Magical 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bizymaline 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Grey Princess 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Big Band Luzziann 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Crystal Coast 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Cabernet 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Sandpiper Memories 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Wicklow Gal 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Dubstep 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Streaking Grey 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Worldly Beauty 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Zozan 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 War Beat 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Catch a Tiger 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Themanupfront 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Honesto 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Roar Ready 30.00 5 9-1
8 8 Street Earnings 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bold Advance 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Reminder 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Private Thoughts 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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