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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Choose to Be Happy 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cee’nceesgreytness 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Turf and Surf 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Emerald Lake 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Endorphin Rush 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Crumlin Bird 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Old Secrets 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Uncle’s the Banker 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hey Luigi 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mambo Blue 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lemon Twist 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Arrakasta Izan 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Get Ready Set Fire 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Office Corruption 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Cheap Speed 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Acadia 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Stolzer Onkel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star Scholar 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Trebuchet 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Ontario Holiday 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Whiskey Row 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Canadian Avro 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dixie’s Flatter 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Ethnic Soul 3.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 This Katz for Real 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ghoul (BRZ) 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Long Pond 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Highland Society 3.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Midnight Arkle 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 U S Army Corps 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Kid Forester 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Race for Pinks 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Forester Humor 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 This Dude a Breeze 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Bongino 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Mexicoffee 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jay Bird 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Yorkville 15.00 5 10-1
6 6 Jack the Cat 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lion Kingdom 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 The Predicament 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quiet Knight 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Fast Friends 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Monday Morning 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Blue Spirit 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Focusyn 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Knowing 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Midnight Mo 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Allegiant’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mister Holden 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Celentano 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Pet Sounds 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Tazman 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Victory Town 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Zakhari 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Daddy Send Money 4.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Uncaptured Moment 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Wealllikedhim 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Question Mark 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Loaded Justice 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Speedy Bulleit 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Catholic Jackie 3.00 3 6-1
9 9 Glorious Revenge 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Moddassah 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Halcon Negro 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Redneck Rebel 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Ginger’s Holiday 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Hurricane Deshambo 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Vini Vidi Vici 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tropical Getaway 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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