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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Acquitted 0 0-1
5 5 What About Q 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Acquitted 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Clapping Trees 15.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Cloudy Women 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Donttellourwives 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dandy Vandy (FR) 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Yaani 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Kitty Marren 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Comeback Girl 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whimsical Heir 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Barbera 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dr. Ray D. 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Bella Vienna 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Una Palabra 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Deficit Maja 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Solid Tune 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Isabel Ludlow 3.00 1 2-1
6 5 Red Diamond 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Annie’s Hope 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 Misty Muppet 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 Talent for Gold 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Putt for Dough 5.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Cheeky Gal 0.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Avoir 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Captain Choochies 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mongolian Gold 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Daddy Justify 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bearings 1.60 3.8 7-1
7 7 Track and Field 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Stick Shift 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 He Did 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Highlands 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Classymademoiselle 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Sareeha (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Vronsky Feint 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Empress Ellie 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Chasingserendipity 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bold Daughter 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 98 She’s a Joker 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pure Madness 0 0-1
5 4 Pure Madness 0.80 1 2-1
3 2 Speed Grazy 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Special Club 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 98 Windribbon 0.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Crypto Ride 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Sketchy 15.00 1 2-1
7 6 Uncle Happy 3.00 1 2-1
9 8 Rastaman Vibe 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 American Glory (GB) 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Heart Headed 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Promissio 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Grogu 30.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Curlin’s Kaos 1.20 SCRATCH
1 98 Tejon Pass 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Vanzzy 0.80 1 2-1
6 4 Fly the Sky 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 5 Montana 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Seattle Breakout 15.00 1.6 3-1
5 3 What a Dude 3.50 4 8-1
4 98 Granada Flavor 0.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Hardmoneymuchachos 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kiss for Lulu 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Highplainsdrifter 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Blame the Classic 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Toppers Wager 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Fight Back 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Caught in the Dark 30.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fleet Brotato 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Wasting Aces 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 I’llhaveanotherwon 5.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Danzing Forest 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Whats the Buzz 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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