Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Fake | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Reign | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Face It Alone | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sky Buy | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladida | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red River Susi | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlize Chub | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rosemary Potatoes | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Sunset | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz D Amazin Lady | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Angelas Party Girl | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will Or Won’t | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Always Connected | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vodkatini | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Boss Lady | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She So Cool | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nurse Rachett | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quick Recovery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passing Bayou | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stella d’Amore | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lizziesluckypenny | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spin the Moon | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reece’s Drama | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Silver Lady | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ganado | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zihuatanejo | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | P J’s Song | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Zipper | 1.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carentan | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saisir Le Jour | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hyteck Prince | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bee Well | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bean Machine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Max Barley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Union Bulldog | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Visual Artist | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secretary At War | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Royal Moon | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Durkin’s Call | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give It a Go | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Law of the Jungle | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bahama Channel | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Alpha | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two by Two | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlington | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Collect From Ike | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kobla Mas | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collection Day | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Styner | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Danny Boy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tolaga Bay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bolt From Above | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Card Trick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Boltage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | American Memories | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tie Breaker | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striking Speed | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ellie’s Boyfriend | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Constitution | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bargaining Power | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zava | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Averie Lynn | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laramore | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Tappy Tim | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stephanie My Love | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Between Dreams | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Heart | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Luck | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kelly’s Party Girl | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.