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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Back to Gridlock 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fashion Victim 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 4 Refuse to Lose 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Citational 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Magic Wand 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Cowgirl Charm 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 13 Inflation Nation (IRE) 4.50 1 2-1
2 1 Baie Longue 6.00 1.8 3-1
13 12 Raging 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Teta’s Trotter 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Musical Maestro 10.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Irish Tenor 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Typhoon Fury 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Forward Move 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Conniving 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Muazarah 30.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Royal King 8.00 7.2 14-1
11 10 Buckortwo 15.00 7.4 14-1
15 15 Camm’ Duke 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Aaraj 4.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Korrongo 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Try Harder 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Squire Creek 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dot’s Dollar 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 President Z 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Synthesis 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Master of Arms 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Secret Rules 5.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Giroovin 4.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Dangerous Ride 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Judge Rules 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Charming Jim 5.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Sweet Tone 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Makeyourmoment 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Cattani 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Tony O 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Rohan 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Feline Treasure 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Can’t Stand Disco 30.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Landauer 20.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Dr. Darby 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Purest Performance 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Neptune Beach 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Alexis Zorba (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cigarette Boat 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Final Verdict 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Toxic Gray 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Dancing Rinca 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rough Draft 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Vinsanity 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Bezos 50.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Daufuskie Island 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Leddy 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tivy 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Light the Way 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Notah 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Backside Buzz 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sovereignty 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Praetor 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Pirandello 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Burn Notice 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Classicist 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Laird of Magnolia 30.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Freaky 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Spurgeon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nolita 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Brown Suga Babe 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Chasing Daylight 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Miss City Girl 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Enfuega 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Five to Two 4.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Shehanah 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Go Ny Go 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jerry the Nipper 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 City Man 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Hush of a Storm 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Saratoga Flash 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dakota Gold 1.80 4.4 8-1
2 2 Kaz Sugar Bank 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Cable Ready 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Olympic Dreams 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cicciobello 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Pandagate 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 On a Summer Day 4.50 1 2-1
13 13 Il Suo Oro 15.00 1 2-1
5 4 Mezcalifornia 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 1 Mitoleta 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Soul Secret 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Acousticat 8.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Katerina Ristova 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Lotus Petal 3.50 5.5 10-1
11 11 Portrait of Addie 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Bourbon Blanket 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 3 Olivia’s Wish 30.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Early On 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Paraiba Blue 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Thunder Princess 15.00 SCRATCH
15 16 Teca 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Someone 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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