Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Stunner |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wind Flower |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hay Evabody |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stunner |
1.20 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bottomless Mimosa |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jenkin |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Found Grace |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Route Sensation |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Athena Beach |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clover Street |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mosienko |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gone and Forgotten |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foxy Cara |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Backed by Gold |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Sue Ellen Mishkin |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Daybright Delights |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
New York Scrappy |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Concorde Spirit |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sebastianthe First |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amplitude |
1.80 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Isomarshall |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Patronage |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flame Rock Fire |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Midnight Legend |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vitalize |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tiz the Prince |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
English Castle |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Executive Move |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Kant Call It |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Linarite |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Aunt Yola |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quick Power Nap |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beautiful Thief |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
U Should B Dancing |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dusk |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
In the End |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
She Takes Cash |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Damorninggrouch |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flight Control |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
First Class Cat |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mim |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sendera |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dreaming of Carli |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dream On Cara |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Steppin’ Hawk |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nikki Brainburst |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Digital Currency |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
La Indecente |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maxing the Bank |
50.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Widow |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
When Your Strange |
4.50 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moose Mandy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (John Hettinger S.) – John Hettinger S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Marvelous Maude |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Skillet |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonage Daydream |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whatlovelookslike |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Snowy Evening |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scoring Chance |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Can’t Fool Me |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Busy Morning |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Power and Glory |
50.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Cinderella’s Cause |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sterling Silver |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Sweetest Princess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Amanda’s Folly |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Winit |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lost Ark |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blazing Sevens |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Phileas Fogg |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
13 |
13 |
Rocket Can |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tabeguache |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Maker’s Candy |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Winit |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Full Screen |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Instant Coffee |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Curbstone |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Unbridled Bomber |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sheriff Bianco |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Untreated |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
John the Baptist |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sassy Allie |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Reverend Moon |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Theregoesmymiracle |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Betta Go Go Go |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be There |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nilruc |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liberte de Bayeux |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Alacran |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
General Agent |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
War Stride |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Shakin the Belle |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Houlton |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Always Be Smart |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Glint |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
First Trumpet |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.