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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 26, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Stunner 0 0-1
1 1 Wind Flower 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hay Evabody 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Stunner 1.20 2.4 5-1
4 4 Bottomless Mimosa 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jenkin 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Found Grace 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Route Sensation 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Athena Beach 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Clover Street 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mosienko 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Gone and Forgotten 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Foxy Cara 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Backed by Gold 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sue Ellen Mishkin 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Daybright Delights 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 New York Scrappy 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Concorde Spirit 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Sebastianthe First 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Amplitude 1.80 6.2 12-1
3 3 Isomarshall 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Patronage 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Flame Rock Fire 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Midnight Legend 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Vitalize 15.00 9 17-1
13 13 Tiz the Prince 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 English Castle 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Executive Move 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kant Call It 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Linarite 5.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Aunt Yola 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Quick Power Nap 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Beautiful Thief 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 U Should B Dancing 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Dusk 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 In the End 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 She Takes Cash 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Mo Damorninggrouch 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Flight Control 15.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 First Class Cat 1.80 SCRATCH
12 12 Mim 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sendera 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Dreaming of Carli 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Dream On Cara 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Steppin’ Hawk 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Nikki Brainburst 4.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Digital Currency 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 La Indecente 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Maxing the Bank 50.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Widow 30.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 When Your Strange 4.50 7.9 15-1
4 4 Moose Mandy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (John Hettinger S.) – John Hettinger S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marvelous Maude 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Silver Skillet 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Moonage Daydream 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Whatlovelookslike 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Snowy Evening 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Scoring Chance 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Can’t Fool Me 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Busy Morning 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Power and Glory 50.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Cinderella’s Cause 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sterling Silver 1.20 SCRATCH
12 12 Sweetest Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Amanda’s Folly 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Winit 0 0-1
7 7 Lost Ark 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blazing Sevens 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Phileas Fogg 10.00 2.3 4-1
13 13 Rocket Can 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tabeguache 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Maker’s Candy 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Winit 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Full Screen 4.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Instant Coffee 30.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Curbstone 30.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Unbridled Bomber 15.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Sheriff Bianco 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Untreated 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 John the Baptist 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sassy Allie 5.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Reverend Moon 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Theregoesmymiracle 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Betta Go Go Go 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Be There 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Nilruc 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Liberte de Bayeux 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 El Alacran 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 General Agent 8.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 War Stride 1.80 SCRATCH
16 16 Shakin the Belle 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Houlton 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Always Be Smart 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Glint 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 First Trumpet 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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