Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rolly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Why Stop There | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fully Committed | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pacific States | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bubby Papermaker | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Henry | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Seabee | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dave Did It | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Air Force | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Complete Animal | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rock Me Gently | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bitcoin Baby | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brownisthenewblack | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deadly Angel | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Internet Bidder | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Electrica | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperio Azteca | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Matty Bo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leviosa | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitaemi | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Maiden | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gia’s Fuego | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Emirates Affair | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashndynamite | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ambitiously Placed | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Uptown Girl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Ice | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gladriel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mended We Stand | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Booster Shot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Book Runner | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance a Dini | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Level Up | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marvelousmoondance | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Not a Baby | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noneedtoworry | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | He’s Incredible | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Box | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Jones | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Lucky | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shanghai Superfly | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harley’s Charly | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peach Nectar | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Whips | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Almond Cider | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roadtriptonowhere | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chelonian | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Pappy | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wish for Peace | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roan Mountain | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yodel E. A. Who | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jardani | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Paula’s Surprise | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tootaloo Kangaroo | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snappy Ride | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundria | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Annabelle | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jezebel Jade | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shetalkstomuch | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | That’stony’ssister | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pachelbel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Borracho Concho | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Birthday Bond Rob | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double O Otto | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Z’s So Good | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasin’ Whiskey | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Milagroso | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Pity | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Sensation | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Plenty of Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Third Watch | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.